Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Skinner 44.7% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 70.1%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 54.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 50.5%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Guentzel
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
42.3% (1,317)
+4.0%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
52.0% (404)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
33.3% (15)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Guentzel shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Skinner
Home
48.3% (544)
48.2% (949)
Away
43.2% (474)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Guentzel
Skinner
P1
47.8%
41.6%
P2
45.2%
46.0%
P3
45.3%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
23.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%