Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Skinner 43.5% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 67.5%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 52.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 54.2%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Guentzel
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
37.5% (152)
+7.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
47.9% (71)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Skinner
Home
56.3% (16)
41.5% (130)
Away
44.4% (9)
39.4% (94)
By Period
Guentzel
Skinner
P1
20.0%
32.9%
P2
57.1%
47.1%
P3
80.0%
40.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%