Jake Guentzel vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.4% vs Ek 48.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 69.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 77.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Guentzel
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Guentzel
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (200)
47.2% (815)
+1.8%
Power Play
42.3% (111)
53.8% (266)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
47.8% (180)
-2.0%
On power play, Ek has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Guentzel shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Ek
Home
48.8% (166)
49.9% (693)
Away
44.4% (169)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Guentzel
Ek
P1
46.7%
46.2%
P2
48.5%
52.6%
P3
44.3%
46.5%
OT
42.9%
54.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |