Jake Guentzel vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Ek 47.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Guentzel leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 69.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 91.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 65.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Guentzel
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Guentzel
Ek
Last 10: Guentzel 6-4 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
7
1
Guentzel
Ek
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
2
Guentzel
Ek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Guentzel
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
47.3% (6,674)
-1.0%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
55.2% (1,494)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
40.2% (1,168)
+2.7%
On power play, Ek has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Guentzel shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Ek
Home
48.3% (544)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
43.2% (474)
46.9% (4,692)
By Period
Guentzel
Ek
P1
47.8%
46.6%
P2
45.2%
49.4%
P3
45.3%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |