Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Scheifele 49.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 51.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 59.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Guentzel
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Guentzel
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
48.7% (981)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
53.2% (250)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.2% (37)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Scheifele
Home
49.3% (201)
50.0% (672)
Away
42.6% (183)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Guentzel
Scheifele
P1
49.6%
51.4%
P2
45.6%
45.1%
P3
41.6%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |