Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.1%). Guentzel wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Erat 46.8% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 60.7%
Defensive zone
Erat 57.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Guentzel
Erat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
46.7% (321)
-0.4%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
45.5% (101)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
41.4% (29)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Guentzel shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Erat
Home
48.3% (544)
53.2% (252)
Away
43.2% (474)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Guentzel
Erat
P1
47.8%
43.4%
P2
45.2%
45.8%
P3
45.3%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
42.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%