Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +29.8% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pacioretty shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Pacioretty 47.7% (+29.8%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 59.1%
Defensive zone
Pacioretty 56.5%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 52.1%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Guentzel
Pacioretty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Pacioretty
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
25.0% (8)
+20.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
On power play, Guentzel has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pacioretty shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Pacioretty is 20.0% vs left-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Pacioretty
Home
56.3% (16)
33.3% (3)
Away
44.4% (9)
16.7% (6)
By Period
Guentzel
Pacioretty
P1
20.0%
40.0%
P2
57.1%
0.0%
P3
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
22.2%