Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.4% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 77.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 75.1%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 53.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Last 5: Guentzel 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
0
Guentzel
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Guentzel
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Guentzel
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (200)
53.4% (770)
-4.4%
Power Play
42.3% (111)
46.2% (39)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
44.7% (141)
+1.1%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Guentzel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Guentzel shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Home
48.8% (166)
49.0% (429)
Away
44.4% (169)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Guentzel
Zibanejad
P1
46.7%
53.0%
P2
48.5%
51.1%
P3
44.3%
51.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |