Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 77.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 76.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.3%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Last 5: Guentzel 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
0
Guentzel
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Guentzel
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Guentzel
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
53.8% (591)
-1.2%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
47.4% (38)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
43.6% (117)
+0.2%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Guentzel is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Guentzel shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Zibanejad
Home
53.2% (94)
48.2% (307)
Away
42.7% (117)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Guentzel
Zibanejad
P1
53.7%
54.0%
P2
46.8%
51.0%
P3
44.3%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |