Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.4% vs Cates 45.5% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 67.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 67.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Guentzel
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (200)
45.4% (712)
+3.6%
Power Play
42.3% (111)
42.2% (102)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
44.7% (47)
+1.1%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Guentzel shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Cates
Home
48.8% (166)
46.3% (423)
Away
44.4% (169)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Guentzel
Cates
P1
46.7%
46.3%
P2
48.5%
47.1%
P3
44.3%
42.1%
OT
42.9%
18.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%