Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.5% vs Faksa 53.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 96.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 51.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 77.1%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Guentzel
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Guentzel
Faksa
Last 5: Guentzel 0-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
3
Guentzel
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
2
Guentzel
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (194)
56.4% (289)
-6.9%
Power Play
42.2% (109)
0.0% (2)
+42.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
49.2% (126)
-3.4%
On power play, Guentzel has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Guentzel shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Faksa
Home
48.8% (166)
54.9% (182)
Away
44.7% (161)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Guentzel
Faksa
P1
47.7%
61.1%
P2
48.8%
51.3%
P3
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.8%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |