Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Faksa 52.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 95.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 60.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 78.1%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Guentzel
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Guentzel
Faksa
Last 7: Guentzel 1-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
4
Guentzel
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
2
Guentzel
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
52.8% (6,681)
-6.5%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
57.7% (291)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
49.3% (1,372)
-6.4%
On power play, Faksa has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Guentzel shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Faksa
Home
48.3% (544)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
43.2% (474)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Guentzel
Faksa
P1
47.8%
53.0%
P2
45.2%
52.5%
P3
45.3%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
45.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |