Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Fabbri 49.8% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 57.2%
Defensive zone
Fabbri 61.6%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 51.4%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Guentzel
Fabbri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
49.4% (89)
-4.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (20)
+25.0%
On power play, Guentzel has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Fabbri is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Fabbri
Home
56.3% (16)
50.0% (50)
Away
44.4% (9)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Guentzel
Fabbri
P1
20.0%
51.9%
P2
57.1%
51.2%
P3
80.0%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.5%