Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Guentzel wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Guentzel leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 86.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 58.9%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 71.2%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Guentzel
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
Last 10: Guentzel 9-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
8
0
Guentzel
Reinhart
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
42.5% (2,173)
+3.8%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
46.5% (525)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
41.3% (339)
+1.6%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Guentzel is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Guentzel shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Reinhart
Home
48.3% (544)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
43.2% (474)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Guentzel
Reinhart
P1
47.8%
44.5%
P2
45.2%
40.5%
P3
45.3%
44.5%
OT
33.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |