Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Guentzel wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.5% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Guentzel leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 86.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 60.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 70.3%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Guentzel
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
Last 10: Guentzel 9-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
8
0
Guentzel
Reinhart
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (601)
42.5% (2,168)
+4.1%
Power Play
45.6% (259)
46.6% (519)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
41.4% (338)
-0.2%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Guentzel is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Guentzel shoots left. Reinhart is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,276).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Reinhart
Home
49.2% (472)
44.9% (1,519)
Away
42.7% (422)
41.3% (1,506)
By Period
Guentzel
Reinhart
P1
49.2%
44.5%
P2
44.3%
40.4%
P3
45.4%
44.6%
OT
16.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |