Scouting Report
Shane Doan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Doan 48.3% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Doan 54.7%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 53.6%
Neutral zone
Doan 50.9%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Guentzel
Doan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
48.6% (451)
-2.2%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
46.3% (136)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
50.0% (10)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Doan has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Guentzel is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Guentzel shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Doan
Home
48.9% (583)
48.4% (312)
Away
43.2% (474)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Guentzel
Doan
P1
48.0%
42.8%
P2
45.5%
48.3%
P3
46.0%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%