Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.4%). Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Crosby 52.3% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 59.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 61.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Guentzel
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
50.8% (1,169)
-5.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
60.2% (261)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.0% (20)
+55.0%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Crosby
Home
56.3% (16)
53.2% (726)
Away
44.4% (9)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Guentzel
Crosby
P1
20.0%
51.3%
P2
57.1%
52.1%
P3
80.0%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%