Jake Guentzel vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs Trocheck 55.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 73.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 74.7%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 50.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Guentzel
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
57.3% (482)
-4.7%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
67.8% (118)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
42.6% (108)
+1.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Guentzel is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Guentzel shoots left. Trocheck is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Trocheck
Home
53.2% (94)
52.0% (273)
Away
42.7% (117)
59.8% (435)
By Period
Guentzel
Trocheck
P1
53.7%
55.1%
P2
46.8%
61.1%
P3
44.3%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |