Jake Guentzel vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.4% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 73.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 78.7%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Guentzel
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (200)
57.8% (626)
-8.8%
Power Play
42.3% (111)
63.6% (151)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
44.0% (141)
+1.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Guentzel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Guentzel shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Trocheck
Home
48.8% (166)
54.4% (390)
Away
44.4% (169)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Guentzel
Trocheck
P1
46.7%
56.4%
P2
48.5%
58.7%
P3
44.3%
54.8%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |