Jake Guentzel vs Vincent Trocheck
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Guentzel wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 73.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 67.8%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 58.5%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Guentzel
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Guentzel
Trocheck
Last 6: Guentzel 3-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Guentzel
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
59.6% (1,032)
-13.5%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
62.1% (253)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
55.4% (249)
-38.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Trocheck
Home
49.3% (201)
61.7% (786)
Away
42.6% (183)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Guentzel
Trocheck
P1
49.6%
61.7%
P2
45.6%
58.8%
P3
41.6%
57.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |