Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Leschyshyn on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Leschyshyn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Leschyshyn 50.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leschyshyn 65.2%
Defensive zone
Leschyshyn 62.7%
Neutral zone
Leschyshyn 63.4%
Result
Jake Leschyshyn favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Stepan
Leschyshyn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stepan
Leschyshyn
Last 7: Stepan 1-6 Leschyshyn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
0
1
Stepan
Leschyshyn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
0
2
Stepan
Leschyshyn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
1
3
Stepan
Leschyshyn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Leschyshyn
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
49.3% (225)
+6.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
80.0% (5)
-80.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
100.0% (3)
-49.2%
On power play, Leschyshyn has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leschyshyn shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Leschyshyn is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Stepan
Leschyshyn
Home
57.7% (213)
55.0% (129)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.2% (104)
By Period
Stepan
Leschyshyn
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
50.6%
P3
57.1%
51.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Leschyshyn
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |