Scouting Report
Jake Leschyshyn holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Leschyshyn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Leschyshyn wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leschyshyn 47.1% vs Hartman 45.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.4%
Defensive zone
Leschyshyn 64.5%
Neutral zone
Leschyshyn 50.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Leschyshyn
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Leschyshyn
Hartman
Last 5: Leschyshyn 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Leschyshyn
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
2
1
Leschyshyn
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leschyshyn
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (255)
44.8% (936)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.4% (154)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
33.3% (54)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Leschyshyn is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Leschyshyn shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Leschyshyn
Hartman
Home
46.7% (105)
47.4% (568)
Away
45.6% (160)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Leschyshyn
Hartman
P1
40.5%
47.2%
P2
44.3%
43.4%
P3
51.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leschyshyn
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |