Jake Lucchini vs MacKenzie Entwistle
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.7% vs 43.8%). Look for Entwistle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucchini 46.8% vs Entwistle 45.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucchini 62.2%
Defensive zone
Entwistle 61.9%
Neutral zone
Lucchini 50.4%
Result
MacKenzie Entwistle favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lucchini
Entwistle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lucchini
Entwistle
Last 7: Lucchini 4-3 Entwistle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucchini
1
0
Lucchini
Entwistle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Entwistle
1
2
Lucchini
Entwistle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lucchini
2
1
Lucchini
Entwistle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucchini
Entwistle
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (96)
43.5% (370)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
47.6% (21)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Entwistle has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Entwistle shoots right. Lucchini is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Lucchini shoots left. Entwistle is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Lucchini
Entwistle
Home
37.5% (56)
49.2% (195)
Away
51.1% (47)
38.4% (198)
By Period
Lucchini
Entwistle
P1
20.8%
48.4%
P2
51.2%
40.9%
P3
50.0%
40.4%
Final 5 min
38.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucchini
38.0%▼
43.0%
43.7%
Entwistle
40.0%▼
46.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | MacKenzie Entwistle |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | MacKenzie Entwistle |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jake Lucchini |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jake Lucchini |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | MacKenzie Entwistle |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Jake Lucchini |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jake Lucchini |