Scouting Report
Jake Lucchini holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lucchini on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucchini 46.8% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucchini 81.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 50.6%
Neutral zone
Lucchini 56.3%
Result
Jake Lucchini favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Lucchini
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lucchini
Sundqvist
Last 5: Lucchini 5-0 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucchini
1
0
Lucchini
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lucchini
4
0
Lucchini
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucchini
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (96)
41.3% (492)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.2% (81)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Lucchini is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Lucchini shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Lucchini
Sundqvist
Home
37.5% (56)
43.3% (275)
Away
51.1% (47)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Lucchini
Sundqvist
P1
20.8%
43.3%
P2
51.2%
41.8%
P3
50.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
38.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucchini
38.0%▼
43.0%
43.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jake Lucchini |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jake Lucchini |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jake Lucchini |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jake Lucchini |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jake Lucchini |