Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Karlsson wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 44.5% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.0%
Result
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: Karlsson 3-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
1
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (225)
49.0% (3,852)
-6.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
51.3% (351)
-51.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.7% (35)
+4.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Karlsson is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Karlsson shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
Home
43.0% (135)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
40.9% (93)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Karlsson
Kotkaniemi
P1
30.6%
49.9%
P2
54.0%
50.4%
P3
39.0%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |