Scouting Report
Jamal Mayers holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mayers wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mayers 54.9% vs Reasoner 53.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mayers 62.4%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 70.8%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 52.0%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Mayers
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mayers
Reasoner
Last 5: Mayers 2-3 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mayers
Reasoner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
2
Mayers
Reasoner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mayers
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (612)
55.7% (1,642)
+1.0%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
56.9% (72)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (88)
45.5% (413)
+6.8%
On power play, Reasoner has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Mayers is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Mayers shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Mayers
Reasoner
Home
61.7% (339)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
50.4% (395)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Mayers
Reasoner
P1
55.0%
53.1%
P2
55.4%
53.1%
P3
56.1%
55.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
55.6%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |