Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mayers wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mayers 54.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Mayers leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Mayers 80.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 88.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 59.3%
Result
Jamal Mayers favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Mayers
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Mayers
Gaustad
Last 10: Mayers 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
5
4
Mayers
Gaustad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Mayers
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mayers
5
2
Mayers
Gaustad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mayers
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (612)
58.2% (4,334)
-1.5%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
65.4% (188)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (88)
54.8% (1,290)
-2.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Mayers is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Mayers shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Mayers
Gaustad
Home
61.7% (339)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
50.4% (395)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Mayers
Gaustad
P1
55.0%
58.2%
P2
55.4%
56.4%
P3
56.1%
58.3%
OT
100.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
55.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |