Scouting Report
Jamal Mayers holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mayers wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mayers 55.2% vs Gagner 47.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 70.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 75.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Mayers
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mayers
Gagner
Last 5: Mayers 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Mayers
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Mayers
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mayers
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (459)
47.6% (599)
+9.7%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
47.7% (86)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (70)
60.0% (5)
-7.1%
On even strength, Mayers has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mayers is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Mayers shoots right. Gagner is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Mayers
Gagner
Home
61.6% (263)
49.5% (331)
Away
51.2% (295)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Mayers
Gagner
P1
56.1%
47.7%
P2
55.7%
43.9%
P3
56.2%
51.8%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
56.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |