Scouting Report
Jamal Mayers holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mayers wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mayers 54.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 75.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 72.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 80.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Mayers
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Mayers
Gagner
Last 7: Mayers 1-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
4
Mayers
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Mayers
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mayers
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (612)
45.4% (4,699)
+11.3%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
51.5% (928)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (88)
35.0% (226)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Mayers has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mayers is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Mayers shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Mayers
Gagner
Home
61.7% (339)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
50.4% (395)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Mayers
Gagner
P1
55.0%
44.6%
P2
55.4%
46.1%
P3
56.1%
47.3%
OT
100.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
55.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |