Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 48.7% vs Spezza 54.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 70.2%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 79.9%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 73.4%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Sheppard
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sheppard
Spezza
Last 5: Sheppard 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Sheppard
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Sheppard
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sheppard
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (744)
54.4% (7,990)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.8% (46)
56.8% (1,726)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
52.7% (643)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Sheppard is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Sheppard shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Spezza
Home
49.4% (474)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
47.2% (320)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Sheppard
Spezza
P1
47.8%
55.7%
P2
44.9%
54.4%
P3
52.8%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |