Scouting Report
Paul Cotter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 48.7% vs Cotter 50.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Cotter 66.6%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 72.5%
Neutral zone
Cotter 52.3%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Sheppard
Cotter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Cotter
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (744)
49.3% (211)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.8% (46)
64.3% (14)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Cotter has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cotter shoots left. Sheppard is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Sheppard shoots left. Cotter is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Cotter
Home
49.4% (474)
52.6% (116)
Away
47.2% (320)
48.2% (110)
By Period
Sheppard
Cotter
P1
47.8%
52.9%
P2
44.9%
41.7%
P3
52.8%
55.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Cotter
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.4%