Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Wright 47.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 76.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 76.9%
Neutral zone
Wright 75.4%
Result
James Wright favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Backes
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Backes
Wright
Last 6: Backes 0-6 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
6
Backes
Wright
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
49.7% (155)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
43.4% (113)
+12.1%
On power play, Backes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Wright is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Backes
Wright
Home
53.3% (599)
48.9% (133)
Away
50.2% (602)
44.9% (136)
By Period
Backes
Wright
P1
53.5%
49.5%
P2
50.3%
41.4%
P3
51.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | James Wright |