Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wright wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.5% vs Koivu 54.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 62.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 62.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Wright
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wright
Koivu
Last 5: Wright 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Wright
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
0
Wright
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
0
Wright
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (194)
54.0% (9,465)
-4.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.6% (2,100)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (122)
48.9% (1,688)
-6.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Wright is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Wright shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Wright
Koivu
Home
48.7% (156)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
44.7% (161)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Wright
Koivu
P1
49.5%
53.5%
P2
40.0%
54.6%
P3
51.0%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | James Wright |