Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Benn 55.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Hayton
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hayton
Benn
Last 7: Hayton 1-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
3
Hayton
Benn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Hayton
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Hayton
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
55.9% (365)
-3.3%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
56.8% (132)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
53.1% (32)
+0.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Hayton
Benn
Home
53.9% (516)
57.3% (267)
Away
54.4% (504)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Hayton
Benn
P1
55.1%
54.3%
P2
55.0%
55.7%
P3
51.7%
58.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |