Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Benn 55.0% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bedard 80.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 83.2%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Bedard
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Bedard
Benn
Last 7: Bedard 0-7 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Bedard
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
5
Bedard
Benn
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Bedard
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
55.9% (365)
-17.9%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
56.8% (132)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
53.1% (32)
+4.0%
On power play, Benn has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Bedard
Benn
Home
40.5% (316)
57.3% (267)
Away
36.2% (340)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Bedard
Benn
P1
37.2%
54.3%
P2
36.9%
55.7%
P3
40.7%
58.1%
Final 5 min
43.4%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |