Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Benn 52.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 39-21 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 93.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 76.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 90.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 86.3%
13.7%
86.3%
Stepan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
21
(60 meetings)
39
21
Stepan
Benn
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
17
14
Stepan
Benn
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
20
4
Stepan
Benn
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
3
Stepan
Benn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
53.5% (6,450)
-7.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.5% (2,054)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
49.3% (515)
-5.1%
On even strength, Benn has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Home / Away
Stepan
Benn
Home
47.6% (6,608)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Stepan
Benn
P1
47.5%
51.9%
P2
45.6%
52.6%
P3
46.8%
54.0%
OT
40.7%
62.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |