Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Benn 52.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 68.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Staal
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Benn
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Benn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
53.0% (534)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
54.4% (136)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
42.9% (56)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Staal shoots left. Benn is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Staal
Benn
Home
53.5% (561)
53.5% (383)
Away
48.9% (554)
51.3% (343)
By Period
Staal
Benn
P1
50.1%
54.0%
P2
50.3%
51.7%
P3
53.1%
50.9%
OT
53.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Eric Staal |