Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Arnott 50.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 58.6%
Defensive zone
Arnott 57.9%
Neutral zone
Arnott 60.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Benn
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Benn
Arnott
Last 5: Benn 1-4 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
2
Benn
Arnott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
2
Benn
Arnott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
49.7% (1,444)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
53.8% (182)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
40.0% (15)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Benn
Arnott
Home
54.9% (4,547)
52.1% (891)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Benn
Arnott
P1
51.9%
46.1%
P2
52.6%
53.6%
P3
54.0%
50.1%
OT
62.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |