Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 45.4% vs Thornton 54.1% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 68.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 63.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 69.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Benn
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Benn
Thornton
Last 10: Benn 3-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Benn
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Benn
Thornton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
52.8% (922)
-7.3%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
56.1% (196)
-39.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
62.0% (100)
-16.5%
On power play, Thornton has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Benn is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Benn shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Benn
Thornton
Home
37.8% (90)
54.9% (597)
Away
47.6% (105)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Benn
Thornton
P1
49.1%
53.0%
P2
37.3%
51.2%
P3
45.2%
57.8%
OT
33.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |