Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 31-26 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 63.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Benn
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
31
(57 meetings)
26
31
Benn
Thornton
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
12
8
Benn
Thornton
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
17
Benn
Thornton
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
10
6
Benn
Thornton
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
53.5% (6,640)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
57.2% (1,387)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
56.7% (427)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Benn
Thornton
Home
54.9% (4,547)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Benn
Thornton
P1
51.9%
55.0%
P2
52.6%
53.3%
P3
54.0%
54.4%
OT
62.4%
56.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |