Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.5% vs Thornton 57.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 89.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 78.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Benn
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Thornton
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (362)
58.7% (722)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.8% (178)
58.5% (147)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
51.2% (86)
-4.0%
On even strength, Thornton has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Benn is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Benn shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Benn
Thornton
Home
56.9% (304)
60.1% (496)
Away
46.0% (272)
55.8% (459)
By Period
Benn
Thornton
P1
50.8%
60.4%
P2
49.0%
54.7%
P3
54.6%
58.2%
OT
70.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |