Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.2% vs Larsson 50.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 88.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 92.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 54.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Benn
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Larsson
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Benn
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
53.8% (773)
-4.0%
Power Play
49.5% (97)
0.0% (2)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
39.9% (218)
-2.4%
On power play, Benn has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Benn shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Benn
Larsson
Home
48.5% (227)
51.2% (490)
Away
49.7% (191)
50.1% (503)
By Period
Benn
Larsson
P1
51.4%
50.6%
P2
40.4%
53.1%
P3
55.5%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |