Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Larsson 49.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 92.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 65.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 69.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Benn
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Benn
Larsson
Last 10: Benn 8-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
7
0
Benn
Larsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
5
Benn
Larsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
50.5% (4,382)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
47.7% (153)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
43.8% (714)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Benn
Larsson
Home
54.9% (4,547)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Benn
Larsson
P1
51.9%
51.6%
P2
52.6%
49.7%
P3
54.0%
47.2%
OT
62.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |