Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Drouin 44.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 52.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 50.2%
Neutral zone
Drouin 50.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Benn
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Benn
Drouin
Last 9: Benn 4-5 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
3
4
Benn
Drouin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
43.5% (1,824)
+10.0%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
48.3% (387)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
39.1% (23)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Home / Away
Benn
Drouin
Home
54.9% (4,547)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Benn
Drouin
P1
51.9%
45.9%
P2
52.6%
42.0%
P3
54.0%
45.0%
OT
62.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |