Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.5% vs Toews 56.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 76.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 74.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 73.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Benn
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Benn
Toews
Last 10: Benn 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Benn
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Benn
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (505)
55.9% (1,143)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.1% (245)
65.1% (304)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
48.5% (97)
+5.1%
On power play, Toews has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Benn shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Benn
Toews
Home
55.5% (398)
61.7% (810)
Away
50.0% (380)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Benn
Toews
P1
50.2%
56.0%
P2
56.3%
56.9%
P3
52.1%
59.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 29, 2013 | OT | 03:20 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 29, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |