Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Toews 58.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 63.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 83.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 75.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Benn
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Toews
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Benn
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
58.0% (901)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
69.5% (226)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
51.7% (209)
-4.4%
On power play, Toews has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Benn
Toews
Home
56.2% (443)
59.3% (637)
Away
54.2% (448)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Benn
Toews
P1
55.4%
61.5%
P2
54.1%
55.2%
P3
55.6%
60.0%
OT
71.4%
70.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |