Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Danforth 49.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 74.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 81.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 56.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Benn
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Benn
Danforth
Last 9: Benn 3-6 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
2
Benn
Danforth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
2
Benn
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Danforth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
51.8% (1,018)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
50.0% (36)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
40.1% (207)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Home / Away
Benn
Danforth
Home
54.9% (4,547)
51.4% (619)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Benn
Danforth
P1
51.9%
49.1%
P2
52.6%
51.4%
P3
54.0%
48.3%
OT
62.4%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |