Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 92.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 63.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 68.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Benn
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Benn
Stenlund
Last 7: Benn 5-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Benn
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
54.4% (592)
+8.2%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
42.9% (14)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
44.1% (229)
+14.0%
On power play, Benn has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Benn
Stenlund
Home
60.5% (349)
50.7% (402)
Away
62.0% (363)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Benn
Stenlund
P1
60.8%
56.5%
P2
60.1%
52.4%
P3
62.4%
45.2%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |