Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Rossi 47.1% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 77.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 64.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 64.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Benn
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Rossi
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
46.5% (879)
+9.4%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
48.6% (105)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
50.0% (8)
+3.1%
On even strength, Benn has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Benn
Rossi
Home
57.3% (267)
47.5% (520)
Away
54.6% (262)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Benn
Rossi
P1
54.3%
47.8%
P2
55.7%
44.2%
P3
58.1%
48.7%
Final 5 min
59.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |