Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Barzal 39.3% (+24.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.4%
Defensive zone
Benn 86.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 81.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Benn
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Barzal
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Benn
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
35.0% (283)
+26.8%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
55.6% (9)
+1.1%
On even strength, Benn has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Benn
Barzal
Home
64.4% (433)
37.0% (138)
Away
55.8% (432)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Benn
Barzal
P1
61.8%
29.5%
P2
59.6%
44.5%
P3
59.2%
31.8%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
62.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |