Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 89.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 78.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Benn
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Benn
Zibanejad
Last 5: Benn 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Benn
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Benn
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
50.1% (1,051)
+11.7%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
58.3% (120)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
41.9% (227)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Benn
Zibanejad
Home
64.4% (433)
49.0% (681)
Away
55.8% (432)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Benn
Zibanejad
P1
61.8%
49.9%
P2
59.6%
47.6%
P3
59.2%
51.1%
OT
55.6%
48.3%
Final 5 min
62.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
60.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |